The recent slide in bonds has sent shockwaves through the stock market, with concerns rising about the impact of swelling supply on yields. The US recently sold $44 billion of seven-year notes at a higher rate than expected, following lackluster demand in previous auctions totaling $139 billion. This trend is causing ripples across various asset classes, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy as inflation remains a key concern globally.
Peter Boockvar of The Boock Report noted that the recent bond auctions have been weak, adding to the pressure on longer maturities in the Treasury market. European bond issuance has already surpassed €1 trillion this year, with German bond yields hitting a six-month high due to accelerating inflation. Australia’s inflation data also suggests that rates may remain high for the time being.
The stock market reacted to these developments, with the S&P 500 dropping below 5,300. American Airlines Group Inc. and UnitedHealth Group Inc. both faced challenges, while BHP Group abandoned its bid for Anglo American Plc. On the other hand, Marathon Oil Corp. surged after a $17 billion acquisition deal with ConocoPhillips.
As the Federal Reserve prepares to release the Beige Book survey, analysts are closely watching for clues on the central bank’s next moves. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized the need for sustained evidence of inflation before considering rate cuts. Economists are expecting a balanced tone in the upcoming report, which could influence the Fed’s decision-making process in the coming months.