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Shares of US health insurer drop following UnitedHealth’s warning about Medicaid enrollment problems

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Shares of U.S. health insurers took a hit on Wednesday as UnitedHealth Group warned of potential disruptions in reimbursement rates for Medicaid due to ongoing enrollment challenges. The news sent UnitedHealth shares down 4.2% to $482.46, with competitors Humana, Centene, and Elevance Health also experiencing declines of 3.2%, 3.7%, and 2.6%, respectively.

During the Bernstein investor conference, a UnitedHealth executive highlighted the prolonged redetermination cycle in Medicaid, emphasizing the need to ensure utilization and rates remain aligned. The recent termination of a COVID-19 pandemic policy in April 2023 led states to reassess Medicaid coverage eligibility, resulting in the disenrollment of 22 million individuals and ongoing renewals for 22 million others.

Analysts, such as Scott Fidel from Stephens, noted the potential impact on Medicaid rates and costs, echoing concerns previously seen in the Medicare Advantage sector. The unexpected increase in healthcare utilization within Medicare plans for seniors and individuals with disabilities further added to the insurers’ challenges.

In addition to managing Medicaid plans for low-income individuals, UnitedHealth and its competitors also oversee health plans for the Medicare program. The industry now faces uncertainty as it navigates the evolving landscape of government healthcare programs and strives to maintain financial stability amidst changing enrollment dynamics.

As investors continue to monitor the situation, the future of U.S. health insurers remains uncertain, with potential implications for both Medicaid and Medicare programs.

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