Stocks and Bonds Retreat as US Business Activity Accelerates, Inflation Picks Up
In a recent turn of events, stocks and bonds took a hit as data revealed that US business activity was on the rise, accompanied by a pickup in inflation. This development has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current stance on interest rates.
The S&P 500 dipped below 5,300 points, with major companies experiencing losses except for Nvidia Corp, which saw a significant 9% surge following a positive outlook, pushing its stock price past the $1,000 mark. On the other hand, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.5%, with Boeing Co. leading the decline after announcing continued cash burn for the quarter and the full year. Treasury yields also saw an increase, particularly in shorter maturities.
Market indicators now suggest a quarter-point rate cut in December, compared to November, as service providers reported the fastest growth in activity in a year, and manufacturing output expanded at a quicker pace. This resilience in economic activity has made it challenging for inflation to cool down, prompting the Fed to maintain higher interest rates for an extended period.
Despite the market fluctuations, experts like Don Rissmiller from Strategas Securities believe that the US economy is robust enough to withstand a prolonged rate pause. However, with Treasury yields and the dollar on the rise, and Bitcoin, oil, and gold prices falling, the economic landscape remains uncertain.
As the Fed continues to monitor inflation and economic growth, investors are keeping a close eye on market developments and the potential impact on their portfolios.