The possibility of Ukraine losing the ongoing conflict with Russia has shifted from a hypothetical scenario to a real concern for Western allies. The once hopeful dreams of a Ukrainian counter-offensive pushing back Russian forces have faded, replaced by fears of a potential defeat. The consequences of such a defeat would be far-reaching and devastating, not just for Ukraine but for the entire geopolitical landscape.
A defeated Ukraine would not only be a blow to the West’s credibility but also a validation of the idea that might makes right. The European Union, in particular, would face a crisis of confidence, with questions raised about the effectiveness of its support for Ukraine. Populist leaders in Europe would seize upon the opportunity to push their own agendas, further dividing the bloc.
The aftermath of a Ukrainian defeat would depend on the terms of any peace settlement, with the potential for further Russian aggression looming large. The EU’s promise of enlargement to Ukraine would be shattered, leaving other aspiring members in limbo. The fear of further attacks and the need for increased defense budgets would become a reality for European nations.
Ultimately, the question of “What if Ukraine loses?” remains a stark reminder of the high stakes involved in the conflict and the need for continued support for Ukraine to prevent such a catastrophic outcome. The future of Europe and the global order hangs in the balance, making the resolution of the conflict a critical priority for all involved parties.